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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Preston North End | Draw | Millwall |
30.66% ( -0) | 27.39% | 41.95% |
Both teams to score 48.53% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.16% ( -0) | 56.83% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.24% ( -0) | 77.76% ( -0) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.24% ( -0) | 33.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.58% ( -0) | 70.42% |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.27% ( -0) | 26.73% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38% | 62% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Preston North End | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 9.8% 2-1 @ 7.02% 2-0 @ 5.32% 3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.38% Total : 30.66% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 9.02% 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.38% | 0-1 @ 11.9% 1-2 @ 8.53% 0-2 @ 7.86% 1-3 @ 3.75% 0-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.24% 0-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.04% Total : 41.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 70 | 28 | 42 | 82 |
2 | Leicester CityLeicester | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 33 | 41 | 82 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 80 | 49 | 31 | 81 |
4 | Southampton | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 73 | 47 | 26 | 73 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 66 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 61 |
7 | Hull City | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 58 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 57 |
9 | Preston North EndPreston | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 56 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 54 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 38 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 53 |
12 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 48 |
13 | Watford | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 48 |
14 | Bristol City | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 47 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 46 |
16 | Millwall | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 43 |
17 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 42 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 41 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 41 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 40 |
21 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 39 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 39 |
23 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 30 | 61 | -31 | 38 |
24 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 77 | -47 | 20 |
> Championship Full Table |