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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Stoke logo

Blackburn
3 - 1
Stoke

Dolan (7', 37'), Szmodics (19')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Ennis (39')
McNally (29'), Tchamadeu (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-5 Leicester
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Stoke City

Although Eustace could be in the dugout in time for Saturday, we do not expect a new manager bounce immediately for Blackburn this weekend. Stoke were woeful in the Leicester defeat, but with a couple of alterations to the XI they should be good enough for three points from this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawStoke City
46.16% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 23.12%30.72% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 62.69% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.58% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)38.42% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.29% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)60.71% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)17.02% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.84% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)47.16% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)24.44% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.12% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)58.88% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 46.16%
    Stoke City 30.72%
    Draw 23.11%
Blackburn RoversDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.37% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.52% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 46.16%
1-1 @ 10.37%
2-2 @ 6.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 7.31% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.86%
0-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.43% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 30.72%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Stoke

Blackburn Rovers
48.6%
Draw
18.9%
Stoke City
32.4%
37
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Stoke
0-3
Blackburn

Thompson (90+1'), Pearson (90+2')
Wharton (4'), Moran (86'), Szmodics (90+1')
Dolan (45+1')
Mar 10, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 36
Stoke
3-2
Blackburn
Hoever (24', 43'), Campbell (75')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Blackburn
0-1
Stoke

Rankin-Costello (10'), Travis (41'), Famiwuya (59')
Baker (27')
Gayle (57'), Fosu (84'), Baker (90+6')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Blackburn
0-1
Stoke

Wharton (32'), Paul van Hecke (34')
Brown (4')
Maja (23'), Smith (56')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Stoke
0-1
Blackburn

Brown (60'), Davies (74'), Chester (75'), Wilmot (90')
Khadra (52')
Dolan (74'), Nyambe (81'), Pickering (89'), Brereton Diaz (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds38257670284282
2Leicester CityLeicester37264774334182
3Ipswich TownIpswich38249580493181
4Southampton36227773472673
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381991059362366
6Norwich CityNorwich381871369541561
7Hull City371610115346758
8Coventry CityCoventry3715121059431657
9Preston North EndPreston37168134954-556
10Middlesbrough38166165352154
11Cardiff CityCardiff38165174351-853
12Sunderland38146184845348
13Watford381212145351248
14Bristol City38138174245-347
15Swansea CitySwansea381210164858-1046
16Millwall381110173650-1443
17Blackburn RoversBlackburn38119185164-1342
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth381011175462-841
19Stoke CityStoke38118193553-1841
20Queens Park RangersQPR381010183650-1440
21Birmingham CityBirmingham38109194259-1739
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield38815154261-1939
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38115223061-3138
24Rotherham UnitedRotherham38311243077-4720

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