Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Millwall |
50.29% ( 0.04) | 24.1% ( 0.32) | 25.61% ( -0.35) |
Both teams to score 55.28% ( -1.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.56% ( -1.69) | 46.44% ( 1.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.28% ( -1.61) | 68.72% ( 1.61) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.49% ( -0.63) | 18.51% ( 0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.27% ( -1.07) | 49.73% ( 1.07) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.83% ( -1.18) | 32.17% ( 1.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.35% ( -1.36) | 68.65% ( 1.36) |
Score Analysis |
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.5) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.35% Total : 50.29% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.1% | 0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.62% Total : 25.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 70 | 28 | 42 | 82 |
2 | Leicester CityLeicester | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 33 | 41 | 82 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 80 | 49 | 31 | 81 |
4 | Southampton | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 73 | 47 | 26 | 73 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 66 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 61 |
7 | Hull City | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 58 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 57 |
9 | Preston North EndPreston | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 56 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 54 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 38 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 53 |
12 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 48 |
13 | Watford | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 48 |
14 | Bristol City | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 47 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 46 |
16 | Millwall | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 43 |
17 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 42 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 41 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 41 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 40 |
21 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 39 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 39 |
23 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 30 | 61 | -31 | 38 |
24 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 77 | -47 | 20 |
> Championship Full Table |