Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.27%) and 1-0 (5.13%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.