Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 65.13%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 15.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-2 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
Result | ||
Liverpool | Draw | West Ham United |
65.13% ( 0.32) | 19.53% ( -0.08) | 15.34% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 53.97% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.87% ( -0.07) | 40.13% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.5% ( -0.07) | 62.5% ( 0.07) |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.43% ( 0.07) | 11.57% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.48% ( 0.14) | 36.52% ( -0.14) |
West Ham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.03% ( -0.34) | 38.97% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.31% ( -0.32) | 75.69% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Liverpool | Draw | West Ham United |
2-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.94% Total : 65.12% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.53% | 1-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.96% Total : 15.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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