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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 54.58%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 22.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
22.93% | 22.49% | 54.58% |
Both teams to score 57.64% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.1% | 41.9% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.7% | 64.3% |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.04% | 31.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.59% | 68.41% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.71% | 15.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56% | 44% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 5.97% 1-0 @ 5.57% 2-0 @ 3.18% 3-1 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 2.13% 3-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.59% Total : 22.93% | 1-1 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 5.61% 0-0 @ 4.89% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.48% | 1-2 @ 9.83% 0-1 @ 9.18% 0-2 @ 8.62% 1-3 @ 6.15% 0-3 @ 5.39% 2-3 @ 3.51% 1-4 @ 2.89% 0-4 @ 2.53% 2-4 @ 1.65% 1-5 @ 1.09% 0-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.8% Total : 54.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 89 | 34 | 55 | 68 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 42 | 36 | 67 |
3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 59 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 57 |
5 | Freiburg | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 56 |
6 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 49 |
7 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 48 |
8 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 46 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 49 | 2 | 45 |
10 | FC Koln | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 41 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 39 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 35 |
13 | Augsburg | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 42 | 58 | -16 | 34 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 32 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 31 |
16 | Schalke 04Schalke | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 30 |
17 | Stuttgart | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 28 |
18 | Hertha Berlin | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 25 |
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