Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leuven in this match.
