Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 51.92%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
