MX23RW : Thursday, March 21 18:18:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
San Lorenzo
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Mar 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain
Sarmiento

San Lorenzo
1 - 0
Sarmiento

Ferreira (6')
Bareiro (84'), Herazo (89'), Giay (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Paredes (32'), Manuel Insaurralde (74'), Calcaterra (81')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between San Lorenzo and Sarmiento.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Lorenzo

All competitions
Last Game: Platense 0-0 San Lorenzo
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Sarmiento

All competitions
Last Game: Sarmiento 3-1 Estudiantes
Saturday, March 9 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 54.11%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 17.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.62%) and 2-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.26%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 19% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for San Lorenzo in this match.

Result
San LorenzoDrawSarmiento
54.11% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07) 28.61% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 17.28% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 33.87% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.91% (0.0019999999999989 0)69.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.35%86.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.56% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)26.44% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.39% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)61.61% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.05% (0.07 0.07)53.95% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.75% (0.042 0.04)87.24% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    San Lorenzo 54.1%
    Sarmiento 17.28%
    Draw 28.6%
San LorenzoDrawSarmiento
1-0 @ 18.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 12.62% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.79% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.6% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.45% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 54.1%
0-0 @ 14.26%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 2.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 28.6%
0-1 @ 8.8% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.61% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.72% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 17.28%

Head to Head
Oct 30, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 11
Sarmiento
0-0
San Lorenzo
Fontana (34'), Paredes (42'), Cruz Kaprof (85')
Perez (6'), Maroni (71'), Hernandez (81')
Feb 20, 2023 10.15pm
Gameweek 4
Sarmiento
0-1
San Lorenzo
Gattoni (58')
Oct 18, 2022 1.30am
Gameweek 26
Sarmiento
2-4
San Lorenzo
Gondou (25'), Quinteros (82')
Braida (18', 61'), Vombergar (42'), Bareiro (45')
Apr 9, 2022 1.30am
Gameweek 9
Sarmiento
2-1
San Lorenzo
Torres (28', 80' pen.)
Mancilla (45+1'), Toledo (61'), Andueza (90+2'), Vismara (90+8')
Ortigoza (90+9' pen.)
Centurion (33'), Gattoni (36'), Gordillo (76')
Gattoni (67')
Nov 30, 2021 8pm
Second Phase
San Lorenzo
1-0
Sarmiento
Fernandez (34')
Rojas (12'), Fernandez (63')

Bravo (45+3'), Castet (54')
rhs 2.0
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