Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Oulu win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
