Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 54.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 22.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Jahn Regensburg win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.
