Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.
