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Malta national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
Slovenia national football team

Malta
0 - 4
Slovenia


Mbong (66'), Satariano (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ilicic (27', 60'), Sporar (49'), Sesko (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying clash between Malta and Slovenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Malta had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Malta win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slovenia would win this match.

Result
MaltaDrawSlovenia
30.16%25.19%44.66%
Both teams to score 55.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.81%48.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.65%70.35%
Malta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.32%29.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.27%65.73%
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.42%21.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.32%54.68%
Score Analysis
    Malta 30.16%
    Slovenia 44.66%
    Draw 25.19%
MaltaDrawSlovenia
1-0 @ 7.78%
2-1 @ 7.25%
2-0 @ 4.73%
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-2 @ 2.25%
3-0 @ 1.91%
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 30.16%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 6.41%
2-2 @ 5.56%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 9.82%
1-2 @ 9.15%
0-2 @ 7.53%
1-3 @ 4.67%
0-3 @ 3.85%
2-3 @ 2.84%
1-4 @ 1.79%
0-4 @ 1.48%
2-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 44.66%

How you voted: Malta vs Slovenia

Malta
14.3%
Draw
16.3%
Slovenia
69.4%
98
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2021 5pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
1-0
Malta
Lovric (44' pen.)
Kurtic (12')

Pepe (43'), Satariano (45'), Montebello (77'), Muscat (86')
May 26, 2020
1am
Jun 10, 2017 5pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
2-0
Malta
Ilicic (45'), Novakovic (84')
Nov 11, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Malta
0-1
Slovenia
Verbic (47')
rhs 2.0
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