MX23RW : Monday, March 13 06:39:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Arsenal Women and Reading Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Arsenal Women 2-2 Reading Women

Arsenal will be looking for a positive response after losing last weekend, but we think that an in-form Reading side have enough quality to hold the league leaders to a point on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 71.55%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Reading Women had a probability of 11.29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for a Reading Women win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawReading Women
71.55%17.16%11.29%
Both teams to score 50.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.16%38.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.85%61.15%
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.41%9.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.93%32.07%
Reading Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.74%44.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.67%80.33%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 71.54%
    Reading Women 11.29%
    Draw 17.16%
Arsenal WomenDrawReading Women
2-0 @ 11.66%
1-0 @ 9.95%
2-1 @ 9.51%
3-0 @ 9.12%
3-1 @ 7.43%
4-0 @ 5.35%
4-1 @ 4.36%
3-2 @ 3.03%
5-0 @ 2.51%
5-1 @ 2.04%
4-2 @ 1.78%
6-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 71.54%
1-1 @ 8.11%
0-0 @ 4.24%
2-2 @ 3.88%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 17.16%
0-1 @ 3.46%
1-2 @ 3.31%
0-2 @ 1.41%
2-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 11.29%

Head to Head
Sep 12, 2021 2pm
Reading Women
0-4
Arsenal Women

Rowe (23')
Beattie (17'), Mead (30'), Miedema (32', 50')
McCabe (84')
Jan 17, 2021 2pm
Reading Women
1-1
Arsenal Women
Bruton (5')
Fishlock (58')
Miedema (40')
Wubben-Moy (26'), Walti (76')
Sep 6, 2020 12.30pm
Arsenal Women
6-1
Reading Women
Little (15'), Miedema (33', 78'), Roord (40', 63', 81')
Maritz (42'), Maier (83')
Carter (89')
Bruton (56'), Fishlock (60'), Harding (69')
Dec 8, 2019 2.30pm
Reading Women
0-3
Arsenal Women

Moore (31'), Pacheco (51'), Utland (57')
Miedema (28', 91'), Little (37')
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