Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
