Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Cerrito.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Danubio 2-1 Nacional
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: Nacional vs. Union
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 15 | 13 | 32 |
| 2 | Nacional | 15 | 18 | 28 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 6 | 27 |
Last Game: Cerrito 1-1 Plaza Colonia
Saturday, June 4 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, June 4 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: River Plate vs. Cerrito
Friday, June 10 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Friday, June 10 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 15 | -16 | 12 |
| 15 | Cerrito | 15 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 | Albion | 15 | -15 | 11 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 58.99%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 17.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Cerrito win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Cerrito |
58.99% ( -1.16) | 23.99% ( 0.82) | 17.02% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 43.81% ( -1.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
