Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 50.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 23.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.