Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Barracas Central had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.35%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Barracas Central win was 1-0 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.