Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Beijing Guoan in this match.