Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 51%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
