Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.