Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 72.8%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 9.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.92%) and 3-0 (10.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Tondela |
72.8% | 17.66% | 9.54% |
Both teams to score 42.13% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.7% | 46.3% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.41% | 68.59% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.74% | 11.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.13% | 35.87% |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.47% | 52.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.65% | 86.35% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Tondela |
2-0 @ 14.1% 1-0 @ 12.92% 3-0 @ 10.26% 2-1 @ 9.08% 3-1 @ 6.61% 4-0 @ 5.6% 4-1 @ 3.61% 5-0 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 2.13% 5-1 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.29% Total : 72.79% | 1-1 @ 8.32% 0-0 @ 5.92% 2-2 @ 2.92% Other @ 0.5% Total : 17.66% | 0-1 @ 3.81% 1-2 @ 2.68% 0-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.82% Total : 9.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 40 |
2 | Benfica | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 10 | 21 | 39 |
3 | Porto | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 33 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 30 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | SC FarenseFarense | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 21 |
8 | Casa Pia | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 19 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 17 |
11 | Estrela Amadora | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 17 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 16 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 15 |
15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 15 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 15 |
17 | Vizela | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 13 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |