The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Tondela |
| 46.6% | 26.05% | 27.35% |
| Both teams to score 50.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
