Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 58.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 15.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.01%) and 1-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.