Premier League | Gameweek 18
Feb 23, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Vicarage Road
Watford
1 - 4
Crystal Palace
We said: Watford 1-1 Crystal Palace
Watford have not given their fans much to cheer about on their own turf recently but may sense an opportunity to aid their bid for survival against a wholly inconsistent Palace side. Vieira's men possess the attacking talent capable of breaching the Hornets' staunch backline, though, and we think this game has a draw written all over it. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Watford had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.13%) and 1-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 29.94% | 29.11% | 40.94% |
| Both teams to score 43.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
