Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 65.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Baltika had a probability of 14.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Baltika win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sochi in this match.