Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 62.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 15.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Newcastle United |
62.3% | 21.79% | 15.9% |
Both teams to score 47.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.01% | 48.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.93% | 71.07% |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.83% | 15.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.23% | 43.77% |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.36% | 43.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.17% | 79.82% |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Newcastle United |
1-0 @ 12.48% 2-0 @ 11.77% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 7.4% 3-1 @ 6.14% 4-0 @ 3.49% 4-1 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.55% 5-0 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.2% 5-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.21% Total : 62.3% | 1-1 @ 10.35% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 4.05% Other @ 0.78% Total : 21.79% | 0-1 @ 5.49% 1-2 @ 4.29% 0-2 @ 2.28% 1-3 @ 1.19% 2-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.54% Total : 15.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 28 | 4 | 4 | 93 | 31 | 62 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 25 | 6 | 6 | 83 | 43 | 40 | 81 |
3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 70 |
4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 69 |
5 | Liverpool | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 71 | 43 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 70 | 50 | 20 | 61 |
7 | Aston Villa | 37 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 58 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 66 | 62 | 4 | 57 |
9 | Brentford | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 56 |
10 | Fulham | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 54 | 51 | 3 | 52 |
11 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 44 |
12 | Chelsea | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 43 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 41 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Bournemouth | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 39 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 37 | 67 | -30 | 37 |
17 | Everton | 37 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 33 | 57 | -24 | 33 |
18 | Leicester CityLeicester | 37 | 8 | 7 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 31 |
19 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 47 | 74 | -27 | 31 |
R | Southampton | 37 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 32 | 69 | -37 | 24 |
> Premier League Full Table |