Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.