Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 38.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.91%) and 0-1 (4.62%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-21s would win this match.