Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
