Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Glenavon.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.
