Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for England had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest England win was 0-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.