The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between England and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Saturday's UEFA Nations League clash with England.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Germany 1-1 England
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Hungary | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Germany | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | England | 2 | -1 | 1 |
We said: England 1-0 Italy
Southgate is facing ever-increasing scrutiny after a pair of dissatisfactory showings in the Nations League, with England's attacking stars simply not clicking into gear, but the Azzurri are not the force they once were either. The young and inexperienced forward line at Mancini's disposal could struggle to break down the Three Lions' stingy defence, and we can envisage the Three Lions finally posting a first win on the board in what may not be the most entertaining affair. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Italy had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Italy win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| England | Draw | Italy |
47.38% ( 0.02) | 23.37% ( -0.01) | 29.25% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.83% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
