Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Germany had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 2-1 with a probability of 5.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-2 (5.71%) and 3-1 (4.96%). The likeliest Germany win was 1-2 (5.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.