MX23RW : Thursday, May 4 02:26:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
Atlanta United
Austin FC
Montreal Impact
Charlotte FC
Chicago Fire
Colorado Rapids
Columbus Crew
DC United
FC Dallas
FC Cincinnati
Houston Dynamo
Inter Miami
Los Angeles FC
LA Galaxy
Minnesota United
Nashville
New England Revolution
New York City
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City
Philadelphia Union
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
Sporting Kansas
St Louis City
Toronto FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
Los Angeles FC
Major League Soccer
Nov 5, 2022 at 8pm UK
Banc of California Stadium
Philadelphia Union
Los Angeles
3 - 3
Philadelphia
Acosta (27'), Murillo (83'), Bale (120+8')
Cifuentes (65'), Ibeagha (87')
Crepeau (116')
FT
(aet)
Gazdag (59'), Elliott (85', 120+4')
Carranza (90+1')
Los Angeles win 3-0 on penalties

The new MLS season is now up and running, and you can watch every match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe.

The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-0 Austin
Sunday, October 30 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

We say: Los Angeles FC 1-1 Philadelphia Union (LAFC wins on penalties)

These are two elite-level teams who excel in similar categories. Both are capable of scoring in bunches, while the Union have a slight edge defensively, but LA have a solid defensive midfield setup. While this will be the first MLS Cup Final for either side, LA have veterans who have played on the most prominent football stages, and the experience of Bale and Chiellini, among others, could be that little extra needed to give the Black and Gold a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 55.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 21.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (6.08%).

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
55.88% (-1.982 -1.98) 23.06% (0.667 0.67) 21.06% (1.316 1.32)
Both teams to score 53.13% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.35% (-1.138 -1.14)46.64% (1.138 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.09% (-1.076 -1.08)68.91% (1.075 1.08)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.48% (-1.071 -1.07)16.52% (1.071 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.74% (-1.966 -1.97)46.26% (1.966 1.97)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.64% (0.694 0.69)36.35% (-0.694 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.86% (0.694 0.69)73.14% (-0.694 -0.69)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 55.88%
    Philadelphia Union 21.06%
    Draw 23.06%
Los Angeles FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.81% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.74% (-0.246 -0.25)
3-1 @ 5.91% (-0.258 -0.26)
3-0 @ 5.84% (-0.371 -0.37)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.22 -0.22)
4-0 @ 2.63% (-0.271 -0.27)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.084 -0.08)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.118 -0.12)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 55.88%
1-1 @ 10.94% (0.33 0.33)
0-0 @ 6% (0.283 0.28)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.06%
0-1 @ 6.08% (0.394 0.39)
1-2 @ 5.54% (0.267 0.27)
0-2 @ 3.07% (0.253 0.25)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.123 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.68% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 21.06%

How you voted: TBC vs TBC

TBC
60.5%
Draw
26.3%
TBC
13.2%
38

Prediction and betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.

Head to Head
May 8, 2022 4am
Los Angeles
2-2
Philadelphia
Opoku (56'), Escobar (82')
Palacios (76')
Gazdag (9'), Carranza (67')
Santos (83'), Elliott (90+4')
Mar 9, 2020 2.30am
Los Angeles
3-3
Philadelphia
Vela (38'), Rossi (49'), Segura (71')
Palacios (45+2')
Santos (29'), Glesnes (48'), Aaronson (69')
Gaddis (33'), Andres Martinez (43'), Bedoya (45+4'), Fontana (90+6')
Sep 15, 2019 12.30am
Jul 1, 2018 1am
Los Angeles
4-1
Philadelphia
Diomande (25', 43', 55'), Blessing (96')
Beitashour (39'), Nguyen (85')
Picault (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1New England RevolutionNew England10631169721
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati106311311221
3Atlanta UnitedAtlanta105321916318
4Nashville SCNashville10433116515
5New York City FCNY City104331211115
6Columbus Crew104241912714
7DC United104241413114
8Orlando City94231010014
9Toronto102621313012
10Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia93241413111
11Chicago Fire92521313011
12Inter MiamiInter Miami9306810-29
13New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls10163710-39
14Charlotte FCCharlotte FC102351019-99
15CF MontrealMontreal9306717-109

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Seattle SoundersSeattle106221771020
2St Louis City1061322121019
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles85301661018
4Dallas104331211115
5San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes104331313015
6Houston DynamoHouston8413108213
7Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd933388012
8Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver9252117411
9Portland TimbersPortland103251316-311
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake93151017-710
11Colorado RapidsColorado10163611-59
12Austin FCAustin9234814-69
13Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy9135714-76
14Sporting Kansas CityKansas10037315-123

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!