Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Monaco | 2 | 1 | 4 |
7 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Lorient | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Auxerre | 2 | -3 | 1 |
19 | Troyes | 2 | -4 | 0 |
20 | Reims | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 72.55%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 10.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.36%) and 3-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Troyes |
72.55% ( -0.25) | 16.88% ( 0.09) | 10.56% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 48.69% ( 0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.32% ( 0.07) | 39.68% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.97% ( 0.08) | 62.03% ( -0.08) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.43% ( -0.04) | 9.57% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.98% ( -0.1) | 32.01% ( 0.1) |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.84% ( 0.36) | 46.15% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.16% ( 0.28) | 81.84% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Troyes |
2-0 @ 12.15% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 4.32% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.68% Total : 72.55% | 1-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.82% Total : 16.88% | 0-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.79% Total : 10.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |