Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Montpellier HSC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Nantes | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Troyes | 0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Ajaccio | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Troyes |
43.85% ( 0.37) | 26.03% ( -0.14) | 30.12% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 52.4% ( 0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.24% ( 0.48) | 51.76% ( -0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.47% ( 0.41) | 73.53% ( -0.41) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.51% ( 0.39) | 23.49% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.49% ( 0.56) | 57.51% ( -0.56) |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.48% ( 0.08) | 31.52% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.09% ( 0.09) | 67.91% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Troyes |
1-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.97% Total : 43.84% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |