Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pumas and Toluca.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 49.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 24.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pumas in this match.
