Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 54.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Pumas win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
