Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Santos Laguna.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Toluca win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Santos Laguna in this match.
