Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 47.36%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.