Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 62.79%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 16.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.96%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.
