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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Walsall |
35.62% ( -0.32) | 24.47% ( 0) | 39.91% ( 0.32) |
Both teams to score 59.55% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.72% ( -0.05) | 43.29% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.32% ( -0.05) | 65.68% ( 0.05) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.07% ( -0.2) | 23.93% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.85% ( -0.28) | 58.15% ( 0.29) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.29% ( 0.14) | 21.72% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.12% ( 0.21) | 54.88% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Walsall |
2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.06% Total : 35.62% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 39.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 78 | 36 | 42 | 72 |
2 | Stockport CountyStockport | 37 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 70 | 40 | 30 | 68 |
3 | Wrexham | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 67 |
4 | MK Dons | 39 | 20 | 7 | 12 | 63 | 49 | 14 | 67 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 66 | 54 | 12 | 64 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 37 | 16 | 13 | 8 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 61 |
7 | AFC Wimbledon | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 57 |
8 | Walsall | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 57 | 52 | 5 | 56 |
9 | Crawley TownCrawley | 37 | 17 | 5 | 15 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 56 |
10 | Gillingham | 39 | 16 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 56 |
11 | Newport CountyNewport | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 58 | 0 | 55 |
12 | Morecambe | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 57 | 65 | -8 | 54 |
13 | Notts County | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 75 | 72 | 3 | 51 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 51 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 39 | 15 | 5 | 19 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 50 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 50 |
17 | Bradford CityBradford | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 50 |
18 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 49 | 62 | -13 | 46 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 39 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 65 | 70 | -5 | 44 |
20 | Salford City | 39 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 72 | -14 | 44 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 37 | 8 | 15 | 14 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 39 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 33 |
23 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 63 | -25 | 33 |
24 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 39 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 42 | 70 | -28 | 30 |
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