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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bradford City | Draw | Notts County |
42.33% ( 0.01) | 23.52% ( -0) | 34.14% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 62.69% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.95% ( 0) | 39.04% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.63% ( 0.01) | 61.37% ( -0.01) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.17% ( 0) | 18.82% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.74% ( 0.01) | 50.25% ( -0.01) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.22% ( -0) | 22.77% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.53% ( -0) | 56.46% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Bradford City | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.16% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.98% 3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 3.49% Total : 42.33% | 1-1 @ 10.59% 2-2 @ 6.54% 0-0 @ 4.29% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.52% | 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.34% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.23% 0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.43% 2-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.24% Total : 34.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 78 | 36 | 42 | 72 |
2 | Stockport CountyStockport | 37 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 70 | 40 | 30 | 68 |
3 | Wrexham | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 67 |
4 | MK Dons | 39 | 20 | 7 | 12 | 63 | 49 | 14 | 67 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 66 | 54 | 12 | 64 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 37 | 16 | 13 | 8 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 61 |
7 | AFC Wimbledon | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 57 |
8 | Walsall | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 57 | 52 | 5 | 56 |
9 | Crawley TownCrawley | 37 | 17 | 5 | 15 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 56 |
10 | Gillingham | 39 | 16 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 56 |
11 | Newport CountyNewport | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 58 | 0 | 55 |
12 | Morecambe | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 57 | 65 | -8 | 54 |
13 | Notts County | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 75 | 72 | 3 | 51 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 51 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 39 | 15 | 5 | 19 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 50 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 50 |
17 | Bradford CityBradford | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 50 |
18 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 49 | 62 | -13 | 46 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 39 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 65 | 70 | -5 | 44 |
20 | Salford City | 39 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 72 | -14 | 44 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 37 | 8 | 15 | 14 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 39 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 33 |
23 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 63 | -25 | 33 |
24 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 39 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 42 | 70 | -28 | 30 |
> League Two Full Table |