Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 59.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 16.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
