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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 61.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 16.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | MK Dons |
61.46% ( -0.23) | 21.62% ( 0.06) | 16.92% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 50.49% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.47% ( 0.03) | 46.52% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.2% ( 0.03) | 68.8% ( -0.03) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.38% ( -0.06) | 14.62% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.26% ( -0.12) | 42.73% ( 0.12) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.14% ( 0.23) | 40.86% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.57% ( 0.2) | 77.43% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | MK Dons |
1-0 @ 11.48% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.04% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 61.45% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.94% Total : 21.62% | 0-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.88% Total : 16.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 57 | 32 | 25 | 67 |
2 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 20 | 33 | 65 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 48 | 23 | 25 | 59 |
4 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 56 | 31 | 25 | 57 |
5 | Derby CountyDerby | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 54 |
6 | Barnsley | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 53 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 50 |
8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 48 |
9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 29 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 44 |
10 | Portsmouth | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 41 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 40 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 39 |
13 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 29 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 38 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 38 |
15 | Port Vale | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 36 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 35 |
18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 33 |
19 | Burton Albion | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 38 | 57 | -19 | 31 |
20 | MK Dons | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 29 |
21 | Morecambe | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 27 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 25 | 51 | -26 | 26 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25 | 59 | -34 | 22 |
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