Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
