Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
