Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.