Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 14.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.59%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Valladolid |
61.72% | 23.88% | 14.4% |
Both teams to score 39.01% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.91% | 59.09% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.46% | 79.54% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.04% | 18.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.51% | 50.49% |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.14% | 51.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.09% | 85.91% |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Valladolid |
1-0 @ 16.35% 2-0 @ 13.59% 2-1 @ 8.93% 3-0 @ 7.53% 3-1 @ 4.95% 4-0 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 2.06% 3-2 @ 1.62% 5-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.51% Total : 61.71% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 0-0 @ 9.83% 2-2 @ 2.93% Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.87% | 0-1 @ 6.46% 1-2 @ 3.53% 0-2 @ 2.12% Other @ 2.3% Total : 14.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 59 | 11 | 48 | 79 |
2 | Real Madrid | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 30 | 39 | 68 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 55 | 25 | 30 | 66 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 41 | 29 | 12 | 58 |
5 | Villarreal | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 53 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 49 |
7 | Athletic Bilbao | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 46 |
8 | Osasuna | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 44 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 43 |
10 | GironaGirona | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 41 |
11 | Sevilla | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Mallorca | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 39 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 35 |
15 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 35 |
16 | Almeria | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 33 |
17 | Valencia | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 33 |
18 | Espanyol | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 31 |
19 | Getafe | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 31 |
20 | ElcheElche | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 24 | 62 | -38 | 16 |
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